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Monday, 27 April 2015

HIV prevalence could balloon

Encouraging songs have been sang, motivational words have be said, cheerful articles have been written on the tremendous and enormous decline of HIV prevalence in Zimbabwe. Thumps up to that! However from the research I have done, seems the prevalence rate is likely going to balloon. Currently the country's prevalence rate is pegged at 14.8 percent.

Need I say much, Please do check out the table below of the estimated HIV prevalence in adults and children 2011to 2016.


Age Group
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
2016
15 - 49
   15.67 (14.9-16.4)
     15.35 (14.61-16.06)
    14.99
(14.24-15.7)
       14.8
(14.03-15.55)
       14.74
(13.91-15.57)
      14.57
(13.18-18.78)
15 - 24 (Males)
     4.1 (2.96-5.74)
        4.1
 (3.02-5.7)
     4.06
(3.05-5.57)
      4.07
(3.09-5.48)
      4.11
(3.16-5.44)
     4.06
(-0.64-9.14)
15 - 24 (Females)
    6.84 (6.19-8.2)
      6.72
(6.06-8.06)
      6.55
(5.88-7.86)
    6.42
(5.74-7.7)
      6.33
(5.65-7.55)
      6.06
(-0.62-9.8)
0 - 14 (Children)
    3.64 (3.28-4.01)
     3.29
(2.95-3.64)
     2.99
(2.99-3.34)
     2.66
(2.36-2.97)
       2.37
(2.09-2.65)
      2.11
(1.86-2.38)


There was a decline of HIV prevalence for 15-49 age group however the decline was not statistically significant between 2012 and 2013 as the confidence intervals are overlapping. In 2013 the prevalence was 1.6 times higher in females than in males for the 15-24 age groups.

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